Day 1 of the Dota Pit League Season 4 LAN Finals took off with a bang, with three out of four of the quarterfinal matches ending with the supposed underdogs taking their respective series. While Evil Geniuses made it past Team Empire as expected, CompLexity soundly defeated Virtus.pro, MVP Phoenix edged OG out in a back and forth set, and… Na’Vi beat Team Secret? What?!
Cue the “NA’VI IS BACK” cheers, at least for now. They face EG in the semifinals and that fixture definitely won’t be easy for them. At least for the most part, our predictions from yesterday were correct, barring some of the correct map score bets. The next games should be exciting to follow, given the teams playing each other in the semifinals. With the crazy results from one of the matches yesterday, who knows what will happen from here on?
CompLexity Gaming (11/10 Skybet) v MVP Phoenix (4/6 bet365)
This fixture is going to be downright thrilling. Two of the teams that can be considered middle of the pack compared to the rest of the tier 1 teams worldwide butting heads in the semifinals will be great to watch and bet on. MVP Phoenix displayed great decision making and patience throughout their series against OG, which, on paper, they were supposed to lose. CompLexity did not relax against VP either, slamming their CIS opponents with a quick two-game defeat.
Looking at these odds it’s easy to recommend a CoL bet given that it’ll give you better returns, and since they have just as much of a chance to beat MVP as MVP have of beating them, the value is definitely on their side. Their playstyles are also pretty similar, with MVP’s refined aggression helping them out early game against CoL’s steady laning phase gameplan. If CoL can stabilize against this aggression, the midgame will be theirs for the taking — and that is where they shine the most. This match could very well go either way, so you might as well bet on the team that might give you a larger profit placing money on them.
Evil Geniuses (2/5 bet365) v Natus Vincere (7/4 bet365)
Sometimes even surefire wins end up losing, and such was the case between Na’Vi and Team Secret yesterday. What should have been an easy 2-0 for the defending Major champions turned into a 1-2 nightmare for them, at the hands of a team that hasn’t been seen succeeding in a very, very long time. Things just really came together for Na’Vi at the right time, allowing them to edge Secret out in their quarterfinal series.
We think it’s possible that this will happen once again. Na’Vi will still have their backs against the wall from the get-go in this particular fixture, knowing how strong and consistent EG can be. But if they can get it going early (with the help of some luck and maybe another ArtStyle rampage like yesterday) and build momentum going into the second game, chances are they can tilt EG enough to take the series right there. Realistically speaking, though, they will have to do it in three games.
— written by Patrick “EthanKairos” Bonifacio (@EthanKairosSC2)